Small area estimation ‒ model-based approach in economic research

Small area estimation ‒ model-based approach in economic research

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The main theoretical and exploratory objective of this book is to propose methods for predicting subpopulation characteristics and to analyse the properties of the predictors, taking into account the correlation between the random variables. The practical objectives include:
– adapting the methods of small area estimation, a model-based approach, for economic data obtained in longitudinal surveys;
– proposing and using the author’s overpopulation models belonging to the class of general linear mixed models;
– proposing and using original model verification methods;
– proposing and applying the author’s methods of prediction and assessment of prediction
accuracy of subpopulation characteristics for the proposed class of models;
– demonstrating the applicability of the proposed methods to real economic data – simulation studies conducted using the Monte Carlo method.


Rok wydania2023
Liczba stron178
KategoriaPublikacje darmowe
WydawcaWydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego w Katowicach
ISBN-13978-83-7875-886-0
Numer wydania1
Język publikacjiangielski
Informacja o sprzedawcyePWN sp. z o.o.

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Spis treści

  Introduction    5
  
  Chapter 1. Theoretical foundations of small area estimation
  1.1. Main approaches in small area estimation – basic definitions and notation    8
  1.1.1. Design-based approach    10
  1.1.2. Model-based approach    16
  1.1.3. Model-assisted approach    21
  1.2. Superpopulation model and the steps of its construction    26
  1.2.1. Mixed models    26
  1.2.2. Special cases of linear mixed models with uncorrelated random effects    32
  1.2.3. Special cases of linear mixed models with correlated random effects    36
  1.2.4. Steps of model construction    39
  1.3. Development of small area estimation    48
  1.4. Applications of small area estimation    51
  1.5. Summary    54
  
  Chapter 2. Cross-sectional and longitudinal economic surveys
  2.1. Research conducted during one period    56
  2.2. Essence of longitudinal surveys    58
  2.3. Types of longitudinal surveys    59
  2.3.1. Panel studies    59
  2.3.2. Repeated time surveys with partial rotation    65
  2.3.3. Multi-period surveys with complete rotation    67
  2.4. Advantages and disadvantages of longitudinal surveys    69
  2.4.1. Advantages of time-repeated surveys    70
  2.4.2. Disadvantages and limitations of longitudinal surveys    72
  2.5. Summary    75
  
  Chapter 3. Empirical best linear unbiased predictors
  3.1. Empirical best linear unbiased predictors of Royall and Henderson    77
  3.1.1. BLU predictor of Royall    78
  3.1.2. Henderson’s best linear unbiased predictor    80
  3.2. Empirical best linear unbiased predictor and classification of linear mixed models    82
  3.2.1. EBLUP for type A models    82
  3.2.2. EBLUP for type B models    83
  3.3. EBLUP and the class of linear mixed models with correlated random effects    84
  3.4. Mean squared prediction error and its estimator    85
  3.5. Selected EBLUP modifications and their applications    87
  3.5.1. SEBLUP    88
  3.5.2. REBLUP    90
  3.5.3. SREBLUP    92
  3.5.4. GWEBLUP and RGWEBLUP    93
  3.5.5. Pseudo-EBLUP    96
  3.5.6. NPEBLUP    99
  3.6. EBLUP applications    100
  3.7. Summary    102
  
  Chapter 4. Empirical best predictors and plug-in predictors
  4.1. Empirical best predictor    104
  4.2. Plug-in predictor    105
  4.3. EBP and plug-in predictors, and linear mixed models with correlated random effects vectors    107
  4.4. Estimation of the mean squared error of EBP and plug-in predictors    108
  4.5. Applications of EB and plug-in predictors    109
  4.6. Summary    111
  
  Chapter 5. Simulation studies
  5.1. Dataset    113
  5.2. Simulation study – variant I    116
  5.3. Simulation study – variant II    126
  5.4. Simulation study – variant III    134
  5.5. Summary    142
  
  Conclusions    145
  Bibliography    148
  List of figures    175
  List of tables    177
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