POLECAMY
Koszyk
Measuring Impact of Nuclear Power on CO2 Emissions
Case of Poland
Wydawca:
Format:
ibuk
The Paris Agreement aims to reduce the risks and effects of climate change. To this end, radical action is required, including a change in the energy mix towards zero-emission energy. One of the possibilities is the responsible development of nuclear energy. This monograph is the result of an international research project coordinated by the International Atomic Energy Agency on the potential role of nuclear energy in mitigating climate change. Within this framework, a multisectoral macroeconomic model has been developed and tested for assessing the impact of different energy supply options on the decarbonisation process. The book presents both methodological and practical aspects of model construction, as well as simulation results for the scenario of implementation of the nuclear program included in the draft Energy Policy of Poland until 2040.
| Rok wydania | 2019 |
|---|---|
| Liczba stron | 178 |
| Kategoria | Publikacje darmowe |
| Wydawca | Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego |
| ISBN-13 | 978-83-8142-819-4 |
| Numer wydania | 1 |
| Język publikacji | angielski |
| Informacja o sprzedawcy | ePWN sp. z o.o. |
Ciekawe propozycje
Spis treści
| 1. Introduction | 7 |
| 1.1. Power sector and GHG emissions | 7 |
| 1.2. Polish nuclear power plant program | 9 |
| 1.3. Motivation | 12 |
| 2. Energy policy and GHG emissions | 17 |
| 2.1. Energy mix issues | 17 |
| 2.2. Analytical review of official strategic documents | 24 |
| 2.2.1. Analysis of The Chancellery of the Prime Minister | 25 |
| 2.2.2. Scenarios of the Warsaw Institute for Economic Studies | 30 |
| 2.2.3. The assumptions of the Ministry of Energy | 32 |
| 2.2.4. Forecasts of the Energy Market Agency | 33 |
| 2.2.5. Deloitte report for the Ministry of Economy | 35 |
| 2.2.6. Scenario analysis “Coal in the Polish energy sector by 2050” | 37 |
| 2.3. Differences and similarities in the results of studies and their sources | 42 |
| 2.4. Recommended approach and recent developments | 46 |
| 3. Estimates of costs of nuclear energy | 51 |
| 3.1. Determinants of lifetime projection cost | 51 |
| 3.1.1. Capital costs | 51 |
| 3.1.2. Operating costs | 55 |
| 3.1.3. Other costs | 57 |
| 3.2. Cost estimation model and assumptions | 59 |
| 3.3. Results | 65 |
| 3.4. Conclusion | 69 |
| 4. Input-output methods for power system analyses | 71 |
| 4.1. Data for modelling | 71 |
| 4.2. Classical models of input-output analysis | 74 |
| 4.2.1. Basic models | 74 |
| 4.2.2. Applications of fundamental models | 79 |
| 4.3. Multipliers of IOA | 83 |
| 4.4. Forecasting of technical coefficients | 86 |
| 4.5. Including a new activity | 88 |
| 4.6. Modelling energy and emissions | 91 |
| 4.6.1. General approach | 92 |
| 4.6.2. Equations of air pollution from fuel combustion | 95 |
| 5. IAEA Empower model and its properties | 99 |
| 5.1. IAEA models for energy planning | 99 |
| 5.2. Theoretical model | 101 |
| 5.3. Implementation of the model for Poland | 105 |
| 5.3.1. Data collection and adjustment | 105 |
| 5.3.2. Implementation and launch of the model | 106 |
| 5.4. Exploring properties of the model | 109 |
| 5.4.1. Scenarios | 109 |
| 5.4.2. Analysis of the results | 118 |
| 6. Impact of Nuclear Power on CO2 Emissions in Poland | 127 |
| 6.1. Empower.pl.cc | 127 |
| 6.2. Simulation Assumptions | 128 |
| 6.2.1. Economy | 128 |
| 6.2.2. Nuclear program costs | 130 |
| 6.2.3. Demand for electricity and power generation mix | 133 |
| 6.3. Scenarios and results | 145 |
| 6.3.1. Change of power structure and power mix | 146 |
| 6.3.2. Changes in energy efficiency | 148 |
| 6.4. Simulation results | 149 |
| 7. Conclusions and recommendations | 159 |
| References | 163 |
| Appendix | 167 |
| List of Figures | 175 |
| List of Tables | 177 |
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